NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR BELL
Points 75.7 65.7
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 25.6
Points From Free Throws 13.1 7.9
Shooting MURR BELL
Field Goals Made 27.3 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 56.0
Field Goal % 49.1% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 59.3% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 13.1 7.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 10.4
Free Throw % 68.9% 75.6%
Ball Control MURR BELL
Rebounds 35.7 28.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 5.5
Turnovers 7.6 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.4 1.6
Steals 4.5 3.7
Fouls 11.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Bellarmine

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR BELL
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 62.2
% of Possessions with MURR BELL
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 32.7%
Player Fouled 20.9% 17.6%
Turnover 11.4% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR BELL
Shot Blocked 2.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 16.9%