NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR CHAT
Points 72.0 74.8
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 27.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 36.5
Points From Free Throws 12.0 10.8
Shooting MURR CHAT
Field Goals Made 25.9 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 54.9
Field Goal % 43.5% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 23.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 31.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 12.0 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 14.4
Free Throw % 68.9% 75.3%
Ball Control MURR CHAT
Rebounds 32.5 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 7.7
Turnovers 7.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.8
Steals 6.2 4.1
Fouls 13.1 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Chattanooga

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR CHAT
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 63.8
% of Possessions with MURR CHAT
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 31.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 40.6%
Player Fouled 20.2% 19.4%
Turnover 10.3% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR CHAT
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 24.9%