NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR EIU
Points 75.5 63.2
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 19.1
Points From Free Throws 14.0 9.8
Shooting MURR EIU
Field Goals Made 27.2 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 57.0
Field Goal % 52.1% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 61.0% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 14.0 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 13.3
Free Throw % 68.9% 73.7%
Ball Control MURR EIU
Rebounds 34.6 29.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 21.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 8.1
Turnovers 9.7 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.9
Steals 4.8 5.4
Fouls 12.1 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Murray St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR EIU
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 64.9
% of Possessions with MURR EIU
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 24.5%
Player Fouled 23.7% 18.2%
Turnover 14.6% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR EIU
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 23.2%