NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR UTM
Points 79.2 74.9
Total Points   154.1
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 29.9
Points From Free Throws 11.2 12.3
Shooting MURR UTM
Field Goals Made 29.6 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 59.1
Field Goal % 46.9% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 11.2 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 16.3
Free Throw % 68.9% 75.6%
Ball Control MURR UTM
Rebounds 35.3 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.0
Turnovers 6.7 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.4
Steals 5.5 3.8
Fouls 13.9 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: TN Martin

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR UTM
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 68.7
% of Possessions with MURR UTM
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 31.8%
Player Fouled 17.6% 19.7%
Turnover 9.5% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR UTM
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 23.0%