NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR INST
Points 70.1 83.8
Total Points   153.9
Points From 2-Pointers 40.2 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 37.9
Points From Free Throws 10.3 13.5
Shooting MURR INST
Field Goals Made 26.6 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 53.9
Field Goal % 45.4% 53.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 23.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 68.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 30.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 41.7%
Free Throws Made 10.3 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 16.7
Free Throw % 68.9% 80.7%
Ball Control MURR INST
Rebounds 28.4 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 5.6
Turnovers 8.4 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.6
Steals 5.6 4.3
Fouls 15.0 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR INST
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 63.9
% of Possessions with MURR INST
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 31.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 39.9%
Player Fouled 19.5% 21.7%
Turnover 12.2% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR INST
Shot Blocked 3.1% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 21.0%