NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULL BAY
Points 68.6 80.9
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 18.5
Points From Free Throws 11.8 21.3
Shooting ULL BAY
Field Goals Made 25.4 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 52.1
Field Goal % 43.4% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 62.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 11.8 21.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 29.1
Free Throw % 73.6% 73.1%
Ball Control ULL BAY
Rebounds 26.6 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 18.4 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 11.5
Turnovers 11.0 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.1
Steals 7.2 6.6
Fouls 18.7 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Louisiana

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULL BAY
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 70.4
% of Possessions with ULL BAY
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 22.7%
Player Fouled 19.9% 26.3%
Turnover 15.4% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULL BAY
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 38.5%