NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULL UTA
Points 73.1 73.6
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 18.7
Points From Free Throws 16.2 20.3
Shooting ULL UTA
Field Goals Made 25.2 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 52.3
Field Goal % 42.5% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 16.2 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 27.6
Free Throw % 73.6% 73.6%
Ball Control ULL UTA
Rebounds 31.8 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 11.5
Turnovers 12.2 16.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.6
Steals 7.8 6.8
Fouls 18.9 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Louisiana

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULL UTA
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 70.0
% of Possessions with ULL UTA
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 34.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 24.8%
Player Fouled 23.4% 25.3%
Turnover 16.4% 21.6%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULL UTA
Shot Blocked 7.0% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 34.9%