NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULL GSU
Points 79.0 74.5
Total Points   153.5
Points From 2-Pointers 44.0 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 16.1
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.5
Shooting ULL GSU
Field Goals Made 28.4 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 60.2
Field Goal % 44.6% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.0 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 27.2%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 20.6
Free Throw % 73.6% 75.0%
Ball Control ULL GSU
Rebounds 38.4 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.8
Turnovers 8.8 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.9
Steals 6.2 4.8
Fouls 15.2 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULL GSU
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 76.8 72.6
% of Possessions with ULL GSU
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 23.4%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.7%
Turnover 12.0% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULL GSU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 27.3%