NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULL NORL
Points 84.8 66.9
Total Points   151.7
Points From 2-Pointers 50.5 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 10.2
Points From Free Throws 16.0 19.3
Shooting ULL NORL
Field Goals Made 31.3 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 54.8
Field Goal % 50.7% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 25.3 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 43.3 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.3% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 3.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 14.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 23.8%
Free Throws Made 16.0 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 27.3
Free Throw % 73.6% 70.6%
Ball Control ULL NORL
Rebounds 39.4 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 10.1
Turnovers 11.5 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.3
Steals 6.9 6.6
Fouls 19.0 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULL NORL
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.5 71.3
% of Possessions with ULL NORL
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 16.5%
Player Fouled 21.9% 25.5%
Turnover 15.4% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULL NORL
Shot Blocked 6.2% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 37.1% 27.2%