NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULL UALR
Points 73.5 72.5
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 44.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 13.5
Points From Free Throws 14.6 15.0
Shooting ULL UALR
Field Goals Made 25.9 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 55.7
Field Goal % 41.9% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 14.6 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 20.5
Free Throw % 73.6% 73.1%
Ball Control ULL UALR
Rebounds 33.1 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 10.5
Turnovers 10.6 14.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.4
Steals 7.2 5.3
Fouls 15.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: AR Lit Rock

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULL UALR
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 69.0
% of Possessions with ULL UALR
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 18.7%
Player Fouled 19.8% 20.8%
Turnover 14.5% 19.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULL UALR
Shot Blocked 8.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 32.7%