NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLG CIN
Points 60.0 72.4
Total Points   132.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 21.9
Points From Free Throws 9.4 9.9
Shooting COLG CIN
Field Goals Made 22.3 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 63.0
Field Goal % 39.3% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.1% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 9.4 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 14.4
Free Throw % 66.6% 68.9%
Ball Control COLG CIN
Rebounds 31.9 42.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 12.9
Turnovers 10.7 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.5
Steals 5.2 5.6
Fouls 11.0 11.3

Playing Style Advantage: Colgate

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLG CIN
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 72.3
% of Possessions with COLG CIN
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 29.0%
Player Fouled 16.5% 16.1%
Turnover 15.6% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLG CIN
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 34.2%