NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WRST RMU
Points 88.2 79.2
Total Points   167.4
Points From 2-Pointers 50.9 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 30.6
Points From Free Throws 18.1 11.5
Shooting WRST RMU
Field Goals Made 31.8 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 63.3
Field Goal % 54.2% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 25.4 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 40.8% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 18.1 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 16.4
Free Throw % 75.6% 69.8%
Ball Control WRST RMU
Rebounds 33.7 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 12.0
Turnovers 9.6 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.6
Steals 6.0 5.0
Fouls 12.4 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Rob Morris

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WRST RMU
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.2 74.4
% of Possessions with WRST RMU
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 18.7% 31.4%
Player Fouled 23.3% 16.7%
Turnover 12.9% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WRST RMU
Shot Blocked 4.2% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 32.0%