NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WRST UIC
Points 80.6 82.5
Total Points   163.1
Points From 2-Pointers 46.2 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 31.8
Points From Free Throws 17.9 11.4
Shooting WRST UIC
Field Goals Made 28.6 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 61.3
Field Goal % 48.2% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 44.7 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 41.3%
Free Throws Made 17.9 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 16.6
Free Throw % 75.6% 68.8%
Ball Control WRST UIC
Rebounds 34.8 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 7.5
Turnovers 11.2 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.9
Steals 6.2 6.5
Fouls 12.8 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WRST UIC
Total Possessions 75.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 71.4
% of Possessions with WRST UIC
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 17.0% 30.4%
Player Fouled 22.8% 17.0%
Turnover 14.7% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WRST UIC
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 22.0%