NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLG NE
Points 67.6 63.6
Total Points   131.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 17.4
Points From Free Throws 9.4 9.8
Shooting COLG NE
Field Goals Made 25.4 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 56.2
Field Goal % 47.0% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 28.0%
Free Throws Made 9.4 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 13.4
Free Throw % 66.6% 73.5%
Ball Control COLG NE
Rebounds 31.7 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 9.2
Turnovers 10.2 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.9
Steals 5.8 5.5
Fouls 11.1 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Colgate

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLG NE
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 62.4 64.7
% of Possessions with COLG NE
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 27.2%
Player Fouled 18.4% 16.9%
Turnover 15.5% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLG NE
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 26.9%