NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WRST INDPU
Points 93.0 70.1
Total Points   163.2
Points From 2-Pointers 55.3 45.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 11.1
Points From Free Throws 16.5 13.5
Shooting WRST INDPU
Field Goals Made 34.7 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 57.0
Field Goal % 60.6% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 67.3% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 3.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 13.5
3 Point Shooting % 43.5% 27.3%
Free Throws Made 16.5 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 18.6
Free Throw % 75.6% 72.7%
Ball Control WRST INDPU
Rebounds 33.6 25.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 16.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 8.8
Turnovers 11.7 13.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 1.8
Steals 6.9 7.7
Fouls 13.6 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WRST INDPU
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 68.9
% of Possessions with WRST INDPU
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 52.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 16.2%
Player Fouled 23.2% 18.4%
Turnover 15.9% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WRST INDPU
Shot Blocked 3.2% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.8% 26.3%