NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WRST PFW
Points 84.4 84.7
Total Points   169.1
Points From 2-Pointers 49.2 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 31.8
Points From Free Throws 15.9 12.1
Shooting WRST PFW
Field Goals Made 31.0 31.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 63.5
Field Goal % 54.5% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 24.6 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 60.4% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 15.9 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 16.8
Free Throw % 75.6% 71.8%
Ball Control WRST PFW
Rebounds 35.0 28.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 7.2
Turnovers 13.9 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.8
Steals 5.4 8.9
Fouls 13.4 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wright St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WRST PFW
Total Possessions 76.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 73.7
% of Possessions with WRST PFW
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 31.5%
Player Fouled 21.6% 17.6%
Turnover 18.1% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WRST PFW
Shot Blocked 4.5% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 20.6%