NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WRST NKU
Points 87.7 82.3
Total Points   169.9
Points From 2-Pointers 51.4 44.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 22.8
Points From Free Throws 14.3 14.8
Shooting WRST NKU
Field Goals Made 33.0 29.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 61.1
Field Goal % 55.4% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 25.7 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 64.1% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 14.3 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 20.3
Free Throw % 75.6% 73.1%
Ball Control WRST NKU
Rebounds 33.7 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 20.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.1
Turnovers 12.6 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.0
Steals 5.8 8.4
Fouls 14.7 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Wright St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WRST NKU
Total Possessions 75.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 73.6
% of Possessions with WRST NKU
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 24.6%
Player Fouled 20.7% 19.5%
Turnover 16.7% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WRST NKU
Shot Blocked 3.3% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 26.7%