NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLG SYR
Points 67.0 72.7
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 19.7
Points From Free Throws 8.2 12.9
Shooting COLG SYR
Field Goals Made 25.8 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 57.8
Field Goal % 45.0% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 8.2 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 12.3 17.7
Free Throw % 66.6% 72.8%
Ball Control COLG SYR
Rebounds 35.0 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 7.3
Turnovers 13.2 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.5
Steals 5.3 8.0
Fouls 12.5 11.2

Playing Style Advantage: Syracuse

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLG SYR
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 68.3
% of Possessions with COLG SYR
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 25.2%
Player Fouled 16.0% 17.9%
Turnover 18.9% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLG SYR
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 21.6%