NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLG PITT
Points 60.3 72.4
Total Points   132.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 28.0
Points From Free Throws 9.2 11.4
Shooting COLG PITT
Field Goals Made 22.4 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 60.5
Field Goal % 41.4% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 9.2 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 15.6
Free Throw % 66.6% 73.0%
Ball Control COLG PITT
Rebounds 32.9 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 10.3
Turnovers 10.4 6.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.2
Steals 4.0 5.7
Fouls 12.2 11.7

Playing Style Advantage: Colgate

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLG PITT
Total Possessions 66.1
Effective Scoring Chances 62.0 69.9
% of Possessions with COLG PITT
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 35.4%
Player Fouled 17.7% 18.4%
Turnover 15.8% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLG PITT
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.7% 27.9%