NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WRST YSU
Points 83.1 85.5
Total Points   168.6
Points From 2-Pointers 46.5 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 29.8
Points From Free Throws 15.9 14.0
Shooting WRST YSU
Field Goals Made 30.1 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 66.4
Field Goal % 48.6% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 23.2 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 45.0 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 40.4% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 15.9 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 18.7
Free Throw % 75.6% 75.3%
Ball Control WRST YSU
Rebounds 35.0 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 12.0
Turnovers 10.3 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.4
Steals 5.1 6.1
Fouls 14.2 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WRST YSU
Total Possessions 75.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 78.3
% of Possessions with WRST YSU
2 Point Attempt 52.1% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.8% 31.7%
Player Fouled 21.7% 18.7%
Turnover 13.6% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WRST YSU
Shot Blocked 6.6% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 31.3%