NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLG NIAG
Points 71.2 63.8
Total Points   135.1
Points From 2-Pointers 44.9 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 17.6
Points From Free Throws 10.7 11.3
Shooting COLG NIAG
Field Goals Made 27.7 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 54.4
Field Goal % 51.0% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 22.4 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 15.0 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 10.7 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 15.3
Free Throw % 66.6% 74.1%
Ball Control COLG NIAG
Rebounds 33.0 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 6.6
Turnovers 9.3 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.7
Steals 6.2 4.6
Fouls 13.0 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Colgate

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLG NIAG
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 63.5
% of Possessions with COLG NIAG
2 Point Attempt 52.9% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 25.1%
Player Fouled 18.1% 19.4%
Turnover 13.9% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLG NIAG
Shot Blocked 3.2% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 19.9%