NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLG NIAG
Points 78.5 66.3
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 24.1
Points From Free Throws 10.7 8.3
Shooting COLG NIAG
Field Goals Made 28.2 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 58.8
Field Goal % 47.3% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 29.3 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 10.7 8.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 11.1
Free Throw % 75.5% 74.7%
Ball Control COLG NIAG
Rebounds 40.8 27.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 5.4
Turnovers 10.3 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.9
Steals 3.8 5.4
Fouls 12.4 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Colgate

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLG NIAG
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 65.0
% of Possessions with COLG NIAG
2 Point Attempt 36.6% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 37.8% 29.2%
Player Fouled 19.2% 18.1%
Turnover 15.0% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLG NIAG
Shot Blocked 3.2% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 33.5% 15.4%