NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAW SCU
Points 69.4 74.5
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 44.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 16.7
Points From Free Throws 16.9 13.4
Shooting HAW SCU
Field Goals Made 22.9 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 58.1
Field Goal % 42.5% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 16.9 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 19.2
Free Throw % 72.5% 69.6%
Ball Control HAW SCU
Rebounds 31.5 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 9.4
Turnovers 10.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.4
Steals 4.1 4.4
Fouls 16.6 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Hawaii

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAW SCU
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 70.3
% of Possessions with HAW SCU
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 20.9%
Player Fouled 25.0% 23.3%
Turnover 14.2% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAW SCU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 27.6%