NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAW UIC
Points 69.3 69.5
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 19.4
Points From Free Throws 17.1 11.3
Shooting HAW UIC
Field Goals Made 23.0 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 57.9
Field Goal % 43.5% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 17.1 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 16.3
Free Throw % 72.5% 68.8%
Ball Control HAW UIC
Rebounds 36.1 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 6.1
Turnovers 12.4 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.3
Steals 4.2 5.8
Fouls 14.1 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Hawaii

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAW UIC
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 67.6
% of Possessions with HAW UIC
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 23.3%
Player Fouled 24.2% 19.7%
Turnover 17.2% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAW UIC
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 17.4%