NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAW UNLV
Points 65.4 72.4
Total Points   137.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 43.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 13.8
Points From Free Throws 13.5 15.2
Shooting HAW UNLV
Field Goals Made 22.4 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 54.5
Field Goal % 42.3% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 13.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 13.5 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 20.8
Free Throw % 72.5% 73.0%
Ball Control HAW UNLV
Rebounds 32.2 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 7.4
Turnovers 12.2 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.6
Steals 3.7 5.4
Fouls 16.2 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: UNLV

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAW UNLV
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.3 67.1
% of Possessions with HAW UNLV
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 53.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 18.1%
Player Fouled 21.3% 23.6%
Turnover 17.9% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAW UNLV
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 23.7%