NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAW CSF
Points 68.9 64.7
Total Points   133.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 13.6
Points From Free Throws 15.8 14.4
Shooting HAW CSF
Field Goals Made 22.9 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 53.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 28.6 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 14.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 15.8 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 20.3
Free Throw % 72.5% 71.1%
Ball Control HAW CSF
Rebounds 34.6 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 6.3
Turnovers 11.7 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.5
Steals 3.8 5.9
Fouls 16.6 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: CS Fullerton

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAW CSF
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 65.3
% of Possessions with HAW CSF
2 Point Attempt 37.1% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 19.4%
Player Fouled 25.1% 24.2%
Turnover 17.0% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAW CSF
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 18.8%