NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-IL BRAD
Points 64.4 68.7
Total Points   133.1
Points From 2-Pointers 27.6 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 22.9
Points From Free Throws 14.3 13.3
Shooting L-IL BRAD
Field Goals Made 21.3 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 55.0
Field Goal % 39.1% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 13.8 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 42.7% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 14.3 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 17.9
Free Throw % 67.6% 74.3%
Ball Control L-IL BRAD
Rebounds 35.2 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 8.1
Turnovers 12.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 5.1
Steals 7.0 6.7
Fouls 16.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-IL BRAD
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 66.1
% of Possessions with L-IL BRAD
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 27.1%
Player Fouled 22.1% 23.0%
Turnover 17.9% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-IL BRAD
Shot Blocked 9.3% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 24.2%