NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-IL BRAD
Points 67.7 54.0
Total Points   121.7
Points From 2-Pointers 28.8 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 14.8
Points From Free Throws 12.4 6.6
Shooting L-IL BRAD
Field Goals Made 23.2 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 51.2 51.3
Field Goal % 45.4% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 28.7 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 12.4 6.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 9.4
Free Throw % 73.1% 70.1%
Ball Control L-IL BRAD
Rebounds 32.7 29.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 6.7
Turnovers 10.0 12.8
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.9
Steals 6.9 3.6
Fouls 11.1 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-IL BRAD
Total Possessions 63.7
Effective Scoring Chances 61.6 57.6
% of Possessions with L-IL BRAD
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 23.6%
Player Fouled 22.9% 17.5%
Turnover 15.7% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-IL BRAD
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 21.2%