NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-IL DUQ
Points 64.6 64.8
Total Points   129.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 30.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 19.1
Points From Free Throws 13.6 15.0
Shooting L-IL DUQ
Field Goals Made 22.3 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 54.4
Field Goal % 41.9% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 13.6 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 20.5
Free Throw % 67.6% 73.4%
Ball Control L-IL DUQ
Rebounds 35.5 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.6
Turnovers 13.1 11.6
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.6
Steals 6.7 7.2
Fouls 17.7 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-IL DUQ
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 66.3
% of Possessions with L-IL DUQ
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 24.0%
Player Fouled 23.0% 25.5%
Turnover 18.8% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-IL DUQ
Shot Blocked 10.5% 10.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 24.3%