NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-IL UNI
Points 70.2 66.7
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 17.7
Points From Free Throws 12.4 17.8
Shooting L-IL UNI
Field Goals Made 24.7 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 52.7
Field Goal % 45.3% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 12.4 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 25.2
Free Throw % 67.6% 70.8%
Ball Control L-IL UNI
Rebounds 35.2 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 6.9
Turnovers 11.8 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.8 3.3
Steals 6.5 6.3
Fouls 19.5 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-IL UNI
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 67.0
% of Possessions with L-IL UNI
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 22.7%
Player Fouled 22.9% 27.7%
Turnover 16.8% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-IL UNI
Shot Blocked 6.3% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 19.8%