NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-IL CLEM
Points 65.3 73.5
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 27.6 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 20.9
Points From Free Throws 13.1 17.2
Shooting L-IL CLEM
Field Goals Made 22.0 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 55.8
Field Goal % 38.6% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.8 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 13.1 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 22.2
Free Throw % 67.6% 77.8%
Ball Control L-IL CLEM
Rebounds 33.9 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 7.8
Turnovers 10.3 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.4
Steals 5.8 4.7
Fouls 17.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-IL CLEM
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 68.9
% of Possessions with L-IL CLEM
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 25.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 25.1%
Turnover 14.6% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-IL CLEM
Shot Blocked 8.0% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 23.2%