NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VCU USU
Points 68.4 68.9
Total Points   137.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 16.7
Points From Free Throws 14.0 16.8
Shooting VCU USU
Field Goals Made 23.4 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 54.3
Field Goal % 41.8% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 14.0 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 23.2
Free Throw % 77.2% 72.5%
Ball Control VCU USU
Rebounds 34.1 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.5
Turnovers 10.3 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.6
Steals 5.9 6.3
Fouls 16.3 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Utah St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VCU USU
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 68.3
% of Possessions with VCU USU
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 24.0%
Player Fouled 20.8% 23.5%
Turnover 14.9% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken VCU USU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 24.6%