NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VCU SBON
Points 68.5 65.0
Total Points   133.4
Points From 2-Pointers 28.2 30.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 20.2
Points From Free Throws 14.7 14.7
Shooting VCU SBON
Field Goals Made 22.6 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 51.7 54.6
Field Goal % 43.8% 39.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 28.0 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 14.7 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 19.0
Free Throw % 77.2% 77.3%
Ball Control VCU SBON
Rebounds 33.9 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.1
Turnovers 11.3 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.6
Steals 4.9 6.4
Fouls 13.8 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VCU SBON
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 63.5 66.2
% of Possessions with VCU SBON
2 Point Attempt 36.9% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 27.2%
Player Fouled 22.1% 20.6%
Turnover 16.9% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken VCU SBON
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 26.1%