NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSU COLO
Points 72.7 72.9
Total Points   145.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.2 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 16.9
Points From Free Throws 11.5 15.4
Shooting CSU COLO
Field Goals Made 27.4 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 54.5
Field Goal % 48.4% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.1% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 11.5 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 20.3
Free Throw % 74.7% 76.0%
Ball Control CSU COLO
Rebounds 28.0 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 9.1
Turnovers 8.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.7
Steals 5.9 4.7
Fouls 16.1 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSU COLO
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 67.0
% of Possessions with CSU COLO
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 19.0%
Player Fouled 20.0% 23.4%
Turnover 12.6% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSU COLO
Shot Blocked 3.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 18.9% 29.3%