NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI USF
Points 69.6 79.9
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 28.9
Points From Free Throws 15.2 15.7
Shooting URI USF
Field Goals Made 24.0 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 59.3
Field Goal % 44.1% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 15.2 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 21.6
Free Throw % 66.1% 72.6%
Ball Control URI USF
Rebounds 36.0 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.1
Turnovers 12.2 7.5
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.6
Steals 3.8 6.7
Fouls 16.7 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI USF
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 72.3
% of Possessions with URI USF
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 31.8%
Player Fouled 23.0% 23.7%
Turnover 17.2% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI USF
Shot Blocked 7.9% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 25.7%