NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI HARV
Points 73.1 73.1
Total Points   146.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 23.2
Points From Free Throws 13.7 14.4
Shooting URI HARV
Field Goals Made 26.0 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 58.2
Field Goal % 44.2% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 13.7 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 20.6
Free Throw % 66.1% 69.8%
Ball Control URI HARV
Rebounds 37.9 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.0
Turnovers 10.4 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 5.2
Steals 4.7 6.2
Fouls 15.5 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Harvard

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI HARV
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 70.3
% of Possessions with URI HARV
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 28.8%
Player Fouled 20.8% 22.1%
Turnover 14.8% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI HARV
Shot Blocked 9.0% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 25.1%