NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI DUQ
Points 65.3 76.9
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 24.6
Points From Free Throws 15.1 13.4
Shooting URI DUQ
Field Goals Made 22.3 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 59.2
Field Goal % 43.0% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 15.1 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 18.3
Free Throw % 66.1% 73.4%
Ball Control URI DUQ
Rebounds 33.7 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 9.7
Turnovers 12.8 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 6.5
Steals 4.3 7.5
Fouls 15.2 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI DUQ
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 70.3
% of Possessions with URI DUQ
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 29.4%
Player Fouled 23.9% 22.0%
Turnover 18.6% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI DUQ
Shot Blocked 11.1% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 28.3%