NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FOR LAS
Points 72.6 69.9
Total Points   142.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 20.5
Points From Free Throws 14.7 14.1
Shooting FOR LAS
Field Goals Made 25.3 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 57.6
Field Goal % 40.7% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 14.7 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 19.8
Free Throw % 67.2% 71.6%
Ball Control FOR LAS
Rebounds 41.5 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 7.8
Turnovers 9.3 10.6
Blocked Shots 5.5 3.3
Steals 5.8 5.1
Fouls 16.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Fordham

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FOR LAS
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 68.6
% of Possessions with FOR LAS
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 22.7%
Player Fouled 21.4% 22.9%
Turnover 13.0% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken FOR LAS
Shot Blocked 5.8% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.4% 21.8%