NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI LAS
Points 74.6 77.1
Total Points   151.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.2 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 27.5
Points From Free Throws 16.0 10.7
Shooting URI LAS
Field Goals Made 26.2 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 63.8
Field Goal % 46.4% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.6 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 16.0 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 15.0
Free Throw % 66.1% 71.6%
Ball Control URI LAS
Rebounds 38.4 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.2
Turnovers 9.8 7.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.6
Steals 3.4 5.8
Fouls 13.6 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI LAS
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 72.6
% of Possessions with URI LAS
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 31.3%
Player Fouled 23.0% 19.3%
Turnover 13.9% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 4.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI LAS
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 24.5%