NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI PROV
Points 64.5 80.0
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 28.5
Points From Free Throws 13.4 15.0
Shooting URI PROV
Field Goals Made 22.6 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 59.0
Field Goal % 40.0% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 13.4 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 20.1
Free Throw % 66.1% 74.5%
Ball Control URI PROV
Rebounds 33.7 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.2
Turnovers 11.4 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 6.0
Steals 4.6 6.2
Fouls 16.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI PROV
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 71.3
% of Possessions with URI PROV
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 34.4%
Player Fouled 21.8% 23.3%
Turnover 16.2% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI PROV
Shot Blocked 10.3% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 27.0%