NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FOR STJOE
Points 68.4 75.2
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 24.0
Points From Free Throws 12.3 16.6
Shooting FOR STJOE
Field Goals Made 23.9 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 54.8
Field Goal % 38.3% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 27.6 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 12.3 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 23.0
Free Throw % 67.2% 71.9%
Ball Control FOR STJOE
Rebounds 37.7 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 8.2
Turnovers 11.0 12.1
Blocked Shots 6.0 3.7
Steals 7.5 6.0
Fouls 17.3 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: St Josephs

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FOR STJOE
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 67.9
% of Possessions with FOR STJOE
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 26.0%
Player Fouled 19.0% 24.1%
Turnover 15.4% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FOR STJOE
Shot Blocked 7.0% 9.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 25.2%