NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI UNT
Points 66.6 76.5
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 26.4
Points From Free Throws 15.3 13.3
Shooting URI UNT
Field Goals Made 22.5 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 50.0 59.6
Field Goal % 45.1% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 15.3 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 17.7
Free Throw % 66.1% 75.1%
Ball Control URI UNT
Rebounds 33.0 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 10.8
Turnovers 12.2 7.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.6
Steals 4.1 7.0
Fouls 13.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI UNT
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 63.9 70.3
% of Possessions with URI UNT
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 29.3%
Player Fouled 24.2% 20.6%
Turnover 18.3% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI UNT
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 31.1%