NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI MASS
Points 70.6 81.6
Total Points   152.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 44.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 22.3
Points From Free Throws 17.0 15.0
Shooting URI MASS
Field Goals Made 23.7 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 62.2
Field Goal % 44.6% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 17.0 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 22.1
Free Throw % 66.1% 68.2%
Ball Control URI MASS
Rebounds 33.7 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 13.0
Turnovers 12.0 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.3
Steals 4.2 6.9
Fouls 15.9 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI MASS
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 76.0
% of Possessions with URI MASS
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 27.2%
Player Fouled 25.1% 22.4%
Turnover 17.0% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI MASS
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 35.4%