NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VCU WVU
Points 74.3 65.0
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 29.1
Points From 3-Pointers 33.2 20.7
Points From Free Throws 13.7 15.3
Shooting VCU WVU
Field Goals Made 24.8 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 53.6
Field Goal % 43.9% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 26.7 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 13.7 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 21.7
Free Throw % 77.2% 70.4%
Ball Control VCU WVU
Rebounds 35.5 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.6
Turnovers 10.0 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.2
Steals 7.1 4.5
Fouls 16.2 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VCU WVU
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 66.4
% of Possessions with VCU WVU
2 Point Attempt 34.0% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 37.9% 26.4%
Player Fouled 19.6% 23.5%
Turnover 14.5% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken VCU WVU
Shot Blocked 4.2% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 24.3%