NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FOR URI
Points 76.2 70.1
Total Points   146.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 15.7
Points From Free Throws 13.7 19.8
Shooting FOR URI
Field Goals Made 26.8 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.5 49.4
Field Goal % 42.1% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 14.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 13.7 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 30.0
Free Throw % 67.2% 66.1%
Ball Control FOR URI
Rebounds 37.1 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 7.9
Turnovers 8.4 13.4
Blocked Shots 7.3 2.5
Steals 7.7 3.9
Fouls 19.9 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Fordham

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FOR URI
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 76.2 66.3
% of Possessions with FOR URI
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 17.3%
Player Fouled 21.7% 27.7%
Turnover 11.6% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FOR URI
Shot Blocked 5.3% 11.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 24.6%