NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FOR SJU
Points 65.2 79.0
Total Points   144.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.8 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 16.4
Points From Free Throws 14.5 20.1
Shooting FOR SJU
Field Goals Made 21.7 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 56.2
Field Goal % 36.1% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 38.6% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 15.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 14.5 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 27.1
Free Throw % 67.2% 74.2%
Ball Control FOR SJU
Rebounds 34.4 40.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 11.6
Turnovers 11.8 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.9
Steals 7.0 5.7
Fouls 17.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Fordham

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FOR SJU
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 72.9
% of Possessions with FOR SJU
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 17.9%
Player Fouled 22.5% 24.7%
Turnover 16.4% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FOR SJU
Shot Blocked 10.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 34.7%