NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FOR RICH
Points 63.5 70.5
Total Points   134.0
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 17.8
Points From Free Throws 11.3 15.8
Shooting FOR RICH
Field Goals Made 22.1 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 52.0
Field Goal % 36.5% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 41.6% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 15.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 11.3 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 22.1
Free Throw % 67.2% 71.6%
Ball Control FOR RICH
Rebounds 38.5 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 4.5
Turnovers 10.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.7
Steals 5.6 5.3
Fouls 17.6 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FOR RICH
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 64.4
% of Possessions with FOR RICH
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 20.1%
Player Fouled 18.6% 25.1%
Turnover 15.0% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FOR RICH
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 14.4%