NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FOR DAV
Points 66.1 69.7
Total Points   135.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 16.9
Points From Free Throws 14.1 18.3
Shooting FOR DAV
Field Goals Made 22.1 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 51.7
Field Goal % 37.7% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 14.1 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 24.8
Free Throw % 67.2% 73.6%
Ball Control FOR DAV
Rebounds 37.0 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 7.3
Turnovers 10.9 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.7
Steals 7.3 5.6
Fouls 18.6 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FOR DAV
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 66.0
% of Possessions with FOR DAV
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 21.5%
Player Fouled 21.6% 26.5%
Turnover 15.6% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FOR DAV
Shot Blocked 7.3% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 22.8%