NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VCU DAV
Points 68.1 61.4
Total Points   129.5
Points From 2-Pointers 27.8 28.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 18.6
Points From Free Throws 15.2 14.0
Shooting VCU DAV
Field Goals Made 22.3 20.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.8 54.6
Field Goal % 42.2% 37.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 28.4 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 27.5%
Free Throws Made 15.2 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 19.0
Free Throw % 77.2% 73.6%
Ball Control VCU DAV
Rebounds 36.5 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.6
Turnovers 10.8 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.5
Steals 6.4 6.3
Fouls 14.9 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VCU DAV
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 65.9
% of Possessions with VCU DAV
2 Point Attempt 37.0% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 29.1%
Player Fouled 21.8% 22.1%
Turnover 16.0% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken VCU DAV
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 23.5%