NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FOR NEV
Points 62.6 72.5
Total Points   135.1
Points From 2-Pointers 26.1 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 15.5
Points From Free Throws 14.3 23.4
Shooting FOR NEV
Field Goals Made 20.4 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 46.2
Field Goal % 35.9% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.0 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 13.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 14.3 23.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 32.8
Free Throw % 67.2% 71.2%
Ball Control FOR NEV
Rebounds 34.1 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 7.2
Turnovers 11.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.2
Steals 5.9 5.5
Fouls 23.4 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Nevada

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FOR NEV
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 65.7
% of Possessions with FOR NEV
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 17.0%
Player Fouled 23.3% 33.6%
Turnover 15.8% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FOR NEV
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 24.2%