NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSU NEV
Points 66.7 66.6
Total Points   133.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 16.6
Points From Free Throws 14.6 17.2
Shooting CSU NEV
Field Goals Made 22.8 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 50.7
Field Goal % 43.8% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 16.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 14.6 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 24.2
Free Throw % 74.7% 71.2%
Ball Control CSU NEV
Rebounds 31.6 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 8.3
Turnovers 9.7 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.5
Steals 4.5 5.0
Fouls 19.1 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Nevada

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSU NEV
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.9 65.5
% of Possessions with CSU NEV
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 21.1%
Player Fouled 25.3% 28.7%
Turnover 14.6% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSU NEV
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 25.3%